We'll be back October 2nd and help keep you up to date on what's happening in the world of
TV advertising, sales and management solutions!
Peace!
Blogging By Dr. Philip Jay LeNoble discusses the sales and sales management structure of media marketing and advertising including principles, practices and behaviorial theory. After 15 years of publishing Retail In$ights and serving as CEO of Executive Decision Systems, Inc., the author is led to provide a continuum of solutions for businesses.
We'll be back October 2nd and help keep you up to date on what's happening in the world of
TV advertising, sales and management solutions!
Peace!
Is local news important to viewers these days? Another question might be: Where else may consumers get their news? Since local news has almost always been a great place for local businesses to advertise there....are things and times changing as a revenue source for local TV stations? Philip Jay LeNoble, Ph.D.
At a time when many Americans no longer read newspapers, the percentage citing social-media apps as their regular source of news has been growing, according to new data from the Pew Research Center.
In fact, X has the greatest percentage of users regularly getting their news there -- 57% -- although that is down slightly from a high of 59%.
TikTok ranks No. 2 in terms of share of users regularly consuming news there -- 55% -- up from just 22% when Pew first began benchmarking the phenomenon five years ago.
Facebook and Truth Social are the only other two social apps in which more than half of their users report getting their news regularly there.
I call the increasing percentages of Americans using social media for news "bad news," because the notion and nature of what constitutes "news" may or may not be actual news. The role of algorithms, declining moderation, and bogus misinformation and disinformation raises big questions about what those users actually perceive to be news.
The Pew study doesn't get into that and, from what I can tell, the responses to its surveys are self-reported in terms of the definition of news.
If Pew really wanted to do a public service, it would drill into what Americans perceive as news on these and other platforms, because some of the research I've seen from other organizations -- principally IPSOS -- suggest it may not always be bona fide, objective, fact-based news reporting that they perceive as news.
Here's another reason local-direct ad revenue is so important to TV stations these days! Philip Jay LeNoble, Ph.D.
The Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB) released an update to its 2025 media spend outlook today — estimating buyers will spend less on advertising in the U.S. and focus more broadly on near-term performance. It also highlights many of the challenges around how media buyers are trying to adjust to changes in consumer behavior.
The study finds media buyers surveyed plan to spend 1.6 percentage points less than what they expected at the start of 2025 -- dropping from 7.3% anticipated growth in January to 5.7% currently.
The shifts in the second half of 2025 show allocated budget changes, and a heightened focus on near-term performance. Some 91% of buyers in the study expressed concern over the economic effects of tariffs, particularly in the areas of automotive, retail, and consumer electronics.
These categories — which rely heavily on imported products and parts — are pressured to balance rising costs with demands to perform. Between 62% and 69% of buyers expect these industries to be hit hardest, and many have adjusted their spending strategies.
Media buyers surveyed in February cited “extreme” concerns, but today are “somewhat” concerned, mainly because they have greater clarity on the most affected industries. Many are adjusting plans by shifting toward bottom-funnel outcomes. As a result of tariffs, only 23% are operating “business as usual.”
The updated forecast in the 2025 Outlook Study September Update: A Snapshot into Ad Spend, Opportunities, and Strategies for Growth is based on insights from more than 200 U.S. ad buyers across agencies and brands. The study notes that the change reflects how geopolitical forces are reshaping media buying.
Data shows an increased focus on achieving performance, and 64% of survey participants cite acquiring new customers as their top goal. They also cite an increased urgency to drive repeat purchases — up 8 percentage points vs. 2024, and 5 percentage points since January’s projection.
Key digital channels — social media, retail media and connected TV (CTV) — are where buyers have turned to reach their goals. These channels are still expected to post double-digit growth.
The IAB data shows the forecasts for social media rising 14.3%, with retail media up 13.2% and connected TV (CTV) at 11.4%.
Linear TV is now expected to decline by 14.4% — a steeper drop than the 12.7% decline the IAB had projected in January, according to the update.
Other traditional media are forecast to decline by 3.4% — more than twice the 1.5% decline projected earlier this year.
In addition to tariff concerns, proving incrementality and cross-channel measurement are challenges, as buyers under economic pressure need to assure that every advertising dollar is working in today’s fragmented measurement landscape.
Some 41% of media buyers surveyed cited macroeconomic headwinds and uncertainty as challenges, while 40% were challenged by adapting and evolving consumer behavior driven by AI and social-first search; 36% by demonstrating incrementality of media investments; 36% by executing cross-channel measurement; 32% by understanding generative AI; 30% by media inflation; 27% by managing reach and frequency; 21% by having budgets to increase emerging channel buys; 21% by mitigating ad fraud; and 20% by maintaining budgets to increase CTV and OTT spend.
Viewership of ABC’s “Jimmy Kimmel Live” in his return show on Tuesday rocketed up three-and-a-half times over the show’s recent average to 6.26 million average minute viewers, according to Nielsen.
These results came even as two major TV station groups -- Nexstar Media Group and Sinclair Inc. -- pre-empted the show for their collective 70 ABC affiliates' TV stations. Those stations amount to 23% of U.S. TV households.
Nielsen's results did not include streaming, according to the ABC Television Network.
Before Kimmel’s last Monday show a week ago -- when he commented about the death of conservative activist Charlie Kirk -- the show was averaging 1.8 million viewers, according to Nielsen.
Views of Kimmel’s return show on YouTube and social-media platforms soared to 26 million, according to ABC. On YouTube’s “Jimmy Kimmel Live” site itself, the monologue got 15.7 million views as of late Wednesday.
Previously, his highest YouTube result was in 2017, when Kimmel talked about the birth of his son and how the family was dealing with his son's heart disease, drawing 14 million views.
On Wednesday, September 24 -- the day after Kimmel’s return -- Nexstar Media Group said in a statement: “Nexstar is continuing to evaluate the status of “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” on our ABC-affiliated local television stations, and the show will be preempted while we do so. We are engaged in productive discussions with executives at The Walt Disney Company, with a focus on ensuring the program reflects and respects the diverse interests of the communities we serve.”
Nexstar Media Group and Sinclair Inc. are in a bind -- operating declining over-the-air TV businesses and with the Trump Administration now watching every move they make. Or everything they say.
Even before all this, TV station groups have been pursuing other businesses for growth: Budding national news or locally sourced digital TV networks, more sports programming, and new ad-sales efforts adding growing local/regional streaming business to over-the-air local TV stations' inventory.
But the easiest and biggest way to grow might be just buying up more over-the-air stations to gain competitive control of a marketplace that has been shrinking.
For example, local TV is now only 6% of total U.S. media spend as of June 2025 -- down from 13% in 2017, according to Guideline.
Currently, Federal Communications Commission regulations state that TV station ownership is capped at 39% of all U.S. TV households -- something that has been in place for over 20 years. Both Nexstar and Sinclair -- two of the biggest station groups in the U.S. -- have been virtually at this limit for years.
The Trump Administration has been leaning toward dropping this restriction. But what comes next?
At the same time, President Trump now says he wants to pull broadcast licenses from TV stations that are critical of him. Putting it plainly, this would be a virtual open attack on the freedom of speech, and freedom of the press.
So what do these TV station groups do? They are reading the room -- and have become ultra-sensitive. They found a critical seam (thanks to social media) in “Jimmy Kimmel Live” when it came to Kimmel's monologue.
Like it or not, this put Nexstar and Sinclair in good favor with Trump’s belief on how to handle future broadcast licenses.
Many analysts believe, from all this, that free speech is on the chopping block.
An important question is what happens when the next over-the-air TV comedian, news commentator or unscripted TV host goes off this way -- for something they say as an opinion, inadvertently, or as part of a comedy routine?
Local and regional advertisers -- those supporting over-the-air TV -- will want to know as well.
Will Trump pull broadcast licenses, file more lawsuits, or ask for more million-dollar settlements?
Good luck making free speech less free -- when your business, at its core, is all about speaking.
Here's something that might feel a bit scary if you're working for ABC TV. Philip Jay LeNoble, Ph.D.
Shut Down ABC Network, Shift to Streaming?
Let’s make it simple.
How about just shutting down a big TV network -- and shifting everything to streaming?
Sounds crazy. But Needham & Company recommends Walt Disney just accelerate where the world seems to be going.
Not a sale of ABC. Not a merger. Not a spinoff. Just over and out.
This isn’t just about declines in finances for the broadcast business, but now adding in an environment that seems to aggressively attack content -- heightened recently by freedom-of-speech issues and the suspension and return of ABC late-night comedian/host Jimmy Kimmel.
Brendan Carr, chairman of the Federal Communications Commission, threatened to take action after Kimmel's remarks with regard to conservative activist Charlie Kirk -- with threats to ABC TV stations and ABC affiliates' broadcast licenses.
“We can do this the easy way or the hard way,” Carr said last week on a conservative political podcast.
That puts nervous major TV station groups on high alert -- closely monitoring the content from TV networks feeding their affiliated TV stations.
Sinclair Inc. immediately threatened to pre-empt “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” unless he made an apology as well as a contribution with a donation to the Kirk conservative organization “Turning Point USA.
After Disney announced that Kimmel would return to the airwaves this week, Sinclair reiterated its decision to pre-empt “Kimmel” -- as did another big TV station group, Nexstar Media Group.
Laura Martin, media analyst of Needham & Company, believes the time is now to make a dramatic change -- to abandon the network and shift everything to streaming.
“Given Disney’s negative share price performance based on recent FCC comments, we argue that Disney should shut down (not sell) ABC,” Martin wrote.
The rub, of course, is that Disney’s legacy TV business -- although steadily declining -- is still currently profitable and will be for the near term.
So why do it? Disney’s stock price, of course. The hard-pressed entertainment stock could benefit in another direction, seeing sharp gains.
“Together, these would add $20 billion -- 10% -- of incremental value to Disney shareholders,” says Martin.
Disney would also benefit by writing off about $10 billion to $11 billion of its $204 billion market value.
So how can Disney -- or anyone with the broadcast network -- transition everything in one big, dramatic move to streaming?
That would seemingly require seismic business changes and a massive marketing campaign to communicate with consumers.
That said, Disney is a master of this kind of consumer marketing.
Still, it won’t be as simple as ABC.
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When a B2B company -- especially an early-stage one -- hits a sales plateau, the knee-jerk instinct is usually the same: "We need to bring in another salesperson.”
Sure, there are times when a new sales hire can make a big difference. But more often than not, adding a salesperson only masks bigger issues. If the engine isn’t working, adding another driver won’t help -- and can even make things worse.
Why? What most of these companies are really experiencing is caused by faulty fundamentals and a wobbly foundation to sell from. And when you throw another rep at the problem, instead of addressing these deeper issues, you can exacerbate the problem.
Why Hiring More Reps Fails to Get to the Root of the Issue
Before hiring, first remember: Onboarding a new sales rep often costs six figures, and it can take up to a year for them to reach full productivity. So before assuming “more people selling” will solve the problem, it’s worth determining if the real issue is lack of outreach activity. If your message, systems, or demand engine are weak, no amount of headcount will fix it.
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Hiring more salespeople usually masks these systemic issues, leading companies to believe they’re doing something when they’re actually just delaying the real work. Here's why this approach so often misses the mark:
What to Do Instead
Before defaulting to another sales hire to address your need for growth, start by answering the tougher, more strategic questions.
Here’s what that work looks like:
Invest in customer insight. Get clear on who your best customers are, what triggers their buying decisions, what frictions they experience, and what content or conversations unlock progress. Map the full journey -- from awareness to decision -- and align your efforts accordingly.
Sharpen your message. Make sure your positioning speaks directly to your ideal buyer’s pain points, goals, and decision-making criteria. It should be differentiated, specific, and tied to outcomes, not features or attributes.
Build a real demand engine. Think beyond sales-led outreach. Create content and campaigns that educate, generate interest, and build trust over time. Your marketing should support long-cycle buyers, not just chase quick wins.
Focus on conversion systems, not just lead volume. Marketing and sales should operate in tandem to track and manage how existing leads move through the funnel, developing nurture programs, email sequences and integrated efforts.
Enable the team you have. Focus on giving the current team tools to help them succeed. That includes sales enablement tools like FAQs, objection-handling frameworks, testimonials, case studies, and beyond. These go beyond nice-to-haves -- they’re what modern selling relies on.
Final Thought
Real growth comes when you build the right conditions for sales to succeed: clear positioning, focused targeting, aligned content, and a system that builds trust over time. Only then will adding a sales rep actually have the results you’re looking for.